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“If you and your friend have received 10 or more Lucky Pokémon, the guarantee won’t be in effect, so keep that in mind! Now is the perfect time to bring old friends back to Pokémon GO and work together to complete your Kanto Pokédex!” – source () When Niantic announced changes to the Lucky Trade system last September, including the addition of guaranteed Lucky Trades for some trades involving Pokémon caught in July or August 2016, they stated the following: As it turns out, guaranteed Lucky Trades don’t operate quite the way they were announced! Here’s what we learned… How Everyone Thought Things Worked To get to the bottom of these reports of varying rates, the Research Group put the mechanics of “guaranteed Lucky Trades” under the microscope.

We suspected more was going on under the surface than met the eye. While it would be tempting to suspect reporting bias, the Research Group’s datapoints were collected in a highly controlled setting. Many travelers reported that the Silph Research Group’s findings did not appear to match their observations. The Silph Research Group’s long-awaited article on the mechanics of Lucky Trades caused a stir when it reported trading Pokémon caught in July and August 2016 (by researchers who had each already received 10 Luckies) resulted in Lucky Pokémon in 75% of trades.